← All featured projects

2023 · PNAS Nexus

Distance to vaccine sites is tied to decreased COVID-19 vaccine uptake

Asaf Mazar, Daniel Jaro, Geoff Tomaino, Ziv Carmon, and Wendy Wood

Two homes are connected to the same vaccine clinic by routes of different lengths.
Scatterplot of the fully vaccinated share of California zip codes against median distance to vaccine sites in miles on a logarithmic scale. A fitted blue line slopes downward as distance increases.

Abstract

COVID-19 remains a leading cause of mortality in the United States, despite the widespread availability of vaccines. Conventional wisdom ties failure to vaccinate primarily to vaccine-skeptic beliefs (e.g. conspiracy theories, partisanship). Yet in this research, we find that vaccination is also hindered by travel distance to vaccine sites (a form of friction, or structural barriers). In study 1, Californians living farther from vaccine sites had lower vaccination rates, and this effect held regardless of partisanship. In study 2, Chicago zip codes saw an uptick in vaccination following vaccine site opening. These results proved robust in multiverse analyses accounting for a wide range of covariates, outcomes, and distance indicators. COVID-19 vaccination is hampered not only by vaccine hesitancy but also by structural barriers like distance. Efforts to boost vaccination could benefit from minimizing friction.

Read the paper · Data and code